India may consider “precision” strikes inside Pakistan-administered Kashmir if its neighbor doesn’t cooperate in controlling terrorists, a U.S. private intelligence company said.
“Indian military operations against targets in Pakistan have in fact been prepared and await the signal to go forward,” Austin, Texas-based Stratfor said in a report today, without providing details of its source of information.
Tensions between the nuclear-armed neighbors rose last month after terrorists killed 164 people in attacks targeting Mumbai’s main railway station, two five-star hotels, a Jewish center and a hospital. India blamed the attacks on “elements” in Pakistan, which then demanded evidence to support the accusation. India is unlikely to risk war by escalating the situation, an analyst said.
By Subramaniam Sharma in New Delhi
“This is an incorrect assessment,” said Ajai Sahni, executive director of the Institute for Conflict Management, a New Delhi-based independent policy research group. “India won’t initiate action of warfare. It will exert greater international pressure.”
India has threatened action and joined the U.S. to pressure Pakistan for action against all involved in the attacks, Stratfor said. It hasn’t repeated the military buildup that deployed 750,000 troops in Kashmir within a week after a terrorist attack on the nation’s Parliament in December 2001, Stratfor said.
India’s Prime Minister Manmohan Singh.REUTERS/B Mathur (INDIA)
India put its Border Security Force on high alert on Dec. 18, Stratfor said. That force, which currently has 45,000 troops deployed along the 2,030-mile border with Pakistan, has a mandate to prevent infiltration and would not be involved in any combat operations, Stratfor said.
One U.S. official said India’s air force “went on alert” after the attacks in Mumbai.