All things change,” the Greek philosopher Heraclitus supposedly wrote over 2,500 years ago – but nothing like they did in 2008!
As 2008 comes to a close, almost nothing has turned out as was expected at the beginning of the year – whether we consider oil prices, the war in Iraq, political corruption or the collapse of the U.S. financial system.
By Victor Davis Hanson
The Washington Times
– OIL: For much of the year, the price of oil skyrocketed; by July, it had reached $147 a barrel. Petroleum prophets warned us that it would soon top $200 – and that we should brace for a future of permanently scarce energy. Geo-strategists added that cash-flush petrol states like Iran, Russia and Venezuela would cause global mischief for decades to come.
Then oil crashed with the stock market in September. Even the infamous cartel tactics of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries haven’t restored energy prices. The money we’re saving could translate into a nearly half-trillion-dollar annual stimulus package for the U.S. economy – and the near-bankruptcy of Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, Hugo Chavez and Vladimir Putin.
So, the year ends with politicians contemplating new energy taxes – and how to raise free-falling gas prices enough to encourage alternate fuels in a world currently flush with excess cheap oil.
– Iraq: 2008 opened with presidential candidates blaming each other over Iraq, declaring that the surge had not brought more stability, and accepting the recommendations of a staged withdrawal offered by the Iraq Study Group.
Yet we ended the year with applause for Gen. David Petraeus – and an admission that his surge and a change in tactics have brought increased security to Iraq. As of this writing, five American soldiers so far have been killed this month in Iraq; more Americans are often murdered in a single day on the streets of major American cities.
– Politics: The Democrats promised an end to the “culture of corruption” of congressional Republicans. Then human nature in 2008 proved more reliable than promises of reform politics.
So we ended the year with a surge of Democratic malfeasance that easily matched the former Republican Congress. Crusading New York Gov. Eliot Spitzer resigned in disgrace after disclosure of his junkets with a prostitute. “Hot Rod” Blagojevich, governor of Illinois, was caught on a wire discussing how to sell Barack Obama’s Senate seat to the highest bidder.
Then there’s Rep. Charles Rangel of New York, the chairman of the House Ways and Means Committee. The sheer range of his alleged transgressions is shocking….